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On the interpretation of the atmospheric mechanism transporting the environmental trigger of Kawasaki Disease


Autoři: Joan Ballester aff001;  Sílvia Borràs aff001;  Roger Curcoll aff002;  Albert Navarro-Gallinad aff001;  Sofya Pozdniakova aff001;  Lidia Cañas aff001;  Jane C. Burns aff003;  Xavier Rodó aff001
Působiště autorů: Climate and Health Program (CLIMA), Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain aff001;  Institute of Environmental Sciences and Technologies (ICTA), Autonomous University of Barcelona (UAB), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain aff002;  Kawasaki Disease Research Center, University of California San Diego (UCSD), La Jolla, California, United States aff003;  Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies (ICREA), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain aff004
Vyšlo v časopise: PLoS ONE 14(12)
Kategorie: Formal Comment
doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0226402

Souhrn

Recent advances on the environmental determinants of Kawasaki Disease have pointed to the important role of the atmospheric transport of a still unknown agent potentially triggering the disease. The hypothesis arose from an innovative methodology combining expertise in climate dynamics, the analysis of ocean and atmosphere data, the use of dispersion models and the search for biological agents in air samples. The approach offered a new perspective to reveal the identity of the potential trigger, but at the same time, it increased the level of complexity, which could potentially lead to the misinterpretation of the mechanisms. Some years after it was originally formulated, we here provide a brief clarification on the approach and limits of the methodology in order to prevent an eventual misuse of our research ideas and theory, so that further research can better focus on the knowledge gaps that still remain open.

Klíčová slova:

Atmospheric dynamics – Japan – Oceans – Pacific Ocean – Seasons – Spring – Winter – Kawasaki disease


Zdroje

1. Burns JC, Cayan DR, Tong G, Bainto EV, Turner CL, Shike H, Kawasaki T, Nakamura Y, Yashiro M, Yanagawa H. Seasonality and temporal clustering of Kawasaki syndrome. Epidemiology 16, 220–225 (2005). doi: 10.1097/01.ede.0000152901.06689.d4 15703537

2. Rodó X, Ballester J, Cayan D, Melish ME, Nakamura Y, Uehara R, Burns JC. Association of Kawasaki disease with tropospheric wind patterns. Nature Scientific Reports 1, 152 (2011).

3. Ballester J, Burns JC, Cayan D, Nakamura Y, Uehara R, Rodó X. Kawasaki disease and ENSO-driven wind circulation. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2284–2289 (2013).

4. Rodó X, Curcoll R, Robinson M, Ballester J, Burns JC, Cayan DR, Lipkin WI, Williams BL, Couto-Rodriguez M, Nakamura Y, Uehara R, Tanimoto H, Morguí JA. Tropospheric winds from northeastern China carry the etiologic agent of Kawasaki disease from its source to Japan. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111, 7952–7957 (2014).

5. Rodó X, Ballester J, Curcoll R, Boyard-Micheau J, Borràs S, Morguí JA. Revisiting the role of environmental and climate factors on the epidemiology of Kawasaki disease. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1382, 84–98 (2016). doi: 10.1111/nyas.13201 27603178

6. Manlhiot C, Mueller B, O’Shea S, Majeed H, Bernknopf B, Labelle M, Westcott KV, Bai H, Chahal N, Birken CS, Yeung RSM, McCrindle BW. Environmental epidemiology of Kawasaki disease: Linking disease etiology, pathogenesis and global distribution. PLoS ONE 13, e0191087 (2018). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0191087 29415012

7. Burns JC, Herzog L, Fabri O, Tremoulet AH, Rodó X, Uehara R, Burgner D, Bainto E, Pierce D, Tyree M, Cayan D, and the Kawasaki Disease Global Climate Consortium. Seasonality of Kawasaki Disease: A Global Perspective. PLoS ONE 8, e74529 (2013). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0074529 24058585

8. Kalnay E, and Coauthors. The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year reanalysis project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 77, 437 (1996).


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PLOS One


2019 Číslo 12
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